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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: rjm2 who wrote (11596)12/15/2000 4:30:28 PM
From: Bob Rudd  Read Replies (1) of 78497
 
<<ts my belief that the multiples being asigned to many of these stocks are unreasonable.>> Perhaps, but I don't buy groups, I buy stocks. ANF is widely expected to earn 1.95 next year and grow over 20% longer term[3 - 5 years] Their history supports this. If it does this for 3 years and you tack a 25 multiple on it [again supported by historical multiples] your buy today @ 18 gets you a 47% annualized return. Half that return would be decent. An interesting aspect of the ANF brand that supports higher than commodity multiples, is that people wear it - as in Logo'd clothing that displays the brand name proudly like a sandwich board. Customers personally identify with it. The only thing better, IMO, is Harley Davidson, where they get the brand tattoo'd on their bodies. [Harley is expected to grow 19% longer term and it's multple on next years est is 29 - superior branding pays]
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