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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: Tommaso who wrote (81808)12/16/2000 11:28:17 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (2) of 95453
 
Tommaso -

Why short the Dow which has a low P/E, some energy stocks, (XOM) and may be supported by the ESF / PPT ?
Those stocks also pay dividends and you have resilient drug stocks like Merck and Johnson & Johnson in there. Many of those Dow stocks have strong European business in Euros, and their earnings will rise as the dollar drops.

Why not the Nasdaq 100/ QQQ - high P/E, mostly high tech capital goods producers ? Plus, the added kickers that they are owned by the more volitle mutual funds (redemptions can force them to sell) and many of those stocks are heavily margined - which can lead to some big fast, drops.

Does the lower cost of put options on the Dow make this a better choice than the QQQ ?
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