SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Anthony @ Equity Investigations, Dear Anthony,

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Anthony@Pacific who wrote (64528)12/17/2000 7:29:51 PM
From: Paul Kern  Read Replies (2) of 122087
 
Didn't you say this months ago?

thestreet.com

Optical Plays: The Next Group to
Get Hammered
By James J. Cramer

Originally posted at 2:11 PM ET 12/15/00 on
RealMoney.com

Uh oh, optical plays continue to
get written about as being great
opportunities as I open the reports
of many of the tech mutual fund
managers I have money with.
They are all loved. They have to
be bought because of the "great
secular" story of optical build-up.

That' s just plain stupid.

That's just plain stupid.

That's just plain stupid.

I wrote that three times because sometimes people skip over things
on the Web.

These build-outs are all
slowing. The demand is
slowing. The money for
them is now hard to get.

Worse, some of the
good optical plays have
big lock-up expirations
where venture
capitalists who paid
pennies per share have
chances to bail from
them. They will. They
have to. They can't
believe how poorly they
are doing away from optical and they will take the gains as long as
they still have gains.

I was reading some interview this morning with Kevin Landis, the
Firsthand's guy, in Investor's Business Daily, and it was typical of the
kind of Panglossian nonsense that these fund managers spew out
these days. Everything is just fine in that world, Landis insists. He is
loaded for bear with them. And Landis is one of the good guys!

When the semiconductor world was unraveling, I backed Jon
Joseph's call to get out of the group. I took a lot of heat here. I didn't
want to open my mailbox. I was too timid in retrospect because of that
heat.

So I am making up for it now with the next group that could be
hammered. And the declines you have seen do not qualify as
hammered.

These stocks will bounce. They are too loved by portfolio managers
not to. They should be sold when they bounce. They should be sold
when they don't bounce, too, but I am hopeful that we see some sort
of move up so you can sell into strength instead of weakness.

And ignore those who tell you all is well in this optical business. If I
were a proctologist, I would make house calls to these managers to
extricate their brains before it's too late to help them.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext