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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)

CSCO 73.87

-0.1%

Jan 9 9:30 AM EST

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To: Stock Farmer who wrote (44705)	12/18/2000 9:43:58 AM
From: The Phoenix	Read Replies (1) of 77400

John, I knew the answer to my question... I was looking to see if bambs could answer.... Thanks anyway. As for your postulation on my point 2 you are right if you look at it in absolute terms however you have ignored the psychology of the situation. Employess who hope to exercise and hold (buy low sell high) will exercise a larger percentage of options when the price is depressed and will be less likely to exercise when the price is high. Your comment. One could argue price would play a part determining exercise. But this would be sophistry because facts (review of 10K) show differently. Approximately 20% of outstanding options are exercised in any given year, without much price sensitivity. would have merit if Cisco had seen previous plateuing/softening in the stock price in the past... it has not so you haven't much to base this assumption on. We will have a better view of this going forward. My thesis stands - that more shares will be exercised at lower prices. OG

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