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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed
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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (49403)12/19/2000 8:32:42 PM
From: fedhead  Read Replies (1) of 436258
 
If the Banks (as evidenced ^BKX) doesn't collapse and moves
to new highs after the fed starts easing, would that cause you to alter your bearish stance. I agree the financial system is under a lot of stress but I have too much resspect
for Alan Greenspan and keep thinking that if anyone can
pull this off,9(avoid the Japan deflation scenario)he can.
One difference between Japan' capital investment boom and the US is that Japn's was focused on old economy industries and real estate whereas the US investment boom has focused on high tech spending where excess capacity can be eliminated quickly. I am not saying that we will return to
the 1000 % returns of tech stocks but more moderate returns
in the stock market could be achievable. I guess I am thinking a deeper than usual cyclical bear as opposed to a
secular bear.

Thanks
Anindo

Anindo
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