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Technology Stocks : Lucent Technologies (LU)
LU 2.825-2.2%Nov 11 3:59 PM EST

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To: Bill who wrote (17408)12/22/2000 4:38:38 PM
From: ntrules  Read Replies (2) of 21876
 
Was the writing on the wall long time ago?

I hate to slam a stock when it is down on its luck, and before I go any further, don't be deceived by my name. I am long LU and hurting but seriously considering throwing in the towel...

About a year ago I came across a magazine article that went into painful details on how companies fudge their results. Lucent was discussed in detail and especially their spinoff from AT&T. During this spinoff, the first quarter Lucent had set aside some contingency funds (1.5 billion or so) to lay-off employees. This quarter they had taken a blood bath. However, it turned out that over the next several quarters they were adding significant unused portion of the contingency funds back to the bottom line because normal attrition was adequate to reach the headcount reduction targets. The article went on to say how companies often take a blood bath and then make their numbers look good for several quarters. Something tells me that their guidance for next quarter might involve similar fudging. I for one would keep a close eye on any funny items that appear in the income statements for the next several quarters.

When I was reading the abovementioned article, I thought that the author was crazy to suggest fudging by Lucent. Coming to think of it now, I have the strange feeling that the writing was on the wall since the spin-off...
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