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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: BDR who wrote (37040)	12/26/2000 1:07:29 PM
From: tinkershaw	Read Replies (1) of 54805

So each destination (server?) will be assigned a unique frequency? How many servers are there on the net? More than the thousand discrete frequencies into which Avanex claims to be able to divide light. How do they deal with that? Dale, Can't say my Duke MBA is helping here either, but Mr. Cao states that 250,000 lambdas would be sufficient to support a network of over 20 million users. Yes, only a 1000 wavelengths on a strand are currently possible, but the working assumption (as it is for microchips is that Caos law of doubling fiber capacity every 6-9 months will function as consistently as Moore's law of doubling every 18 months - which by the way Intel seems to be exceeding these days with P IV and Rambus :) ). So at this pace of development 100,000+ channels on fiber is about 3-4 years away. Whether or not Caos law will prove as workable as Moore's law remains to be seen. Tinker

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