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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: Voltaire who wrote (27249)12/27/2000 12:26:37 AM
From: chic_hearne  Read Replies (1) of 65232
 
IF THE FED REDUCES RATES IN JAN. AND INTIMATES FURTHER CUTS, DON'T COUNT ON PULLBACK IN MARKETS.

Why?

It is my understanding that typically markets keep falling after the first rate cut. Although, I firmly feel we are in unchartered waters given how big this bubble still is (biggest in history still), so therefore anything is possible.

Are you suggesting "it is different this time"?

I expect anything going forward, I believe all the speculative money has to be wiped out before a bottom is found meaning there will be many failed rallies trapping ClownBux before all is said and done. We will reach bottom when there isn't money that wants to buy the dip for months, and we go sideways for a period of time and people give up, then we go up.

That said, this is a traders market. I only feel comfortable playing with a small percentage of my money and only to the short side for now. I'm looking at a few longs looking to run front month calls only as a hedge, but betting down is still the best bet IMHO and I don't like to hold longs overnight for fear of REAL capitulation.
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