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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA

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To: J.T. who wrote (5787)12/27/2000 1:20:34 AM
From: J.T.  Read Replies (4) of 19219
 
Rydex Total Assets Update for Tuesday, December 26th:

Regular Series:

SPX Long - NOVA 542.4 Million
SPX Short- URSA 244.8 Million

NDX Long - OTC 1,905` BILLION
NDX Short- Arktos 81.3 Million

XAU Precious Metals 43.5 Million
Biotechnology 537 Million
Money Market 1,114 BILLION

*********************************************

Dynamic Series (200% correlation)

SPX Long - TITAN 105.5 Million
SPX Short- TEMPEST 29.8 Million

NDX Long - VELOCITY 143.6 Million
NDX Short- VENTURE 41.7 Million

*********************************************

The venus fly trap is set again. The rug is going to get pulled from da bulls. This time compliments of BKX. The money has piled in long into overbought levels as measured by the 5 day rsi levels and rydex bkx jam job in total assets as BKX closed up another 10 + points to BKX 906.06 with an intraday high of BKX 907.52. This is right into our BKX 910 zone from our last Rydex Update MITA 5,787:

...<BKX Analysis:

Watch the BKX from todays close and into Tuesday's intraday high. A 5 minute chart shows this rounding top as BKX did not participate in the final 15 minute melt-up in the market today . It simply stalled. I am anticipating an intrady high around BKX 910 before it turns back down>...

The only thing to play out is if todays intraday high was the level where we turn back down or if it is sometime early on Wednesday. No matter, the BKX is going to take down the SPX back below SPX 1,300 and into this SPX 1,278 - 1,280 gap level. Today the SPX closed at SPX 1,315.19. The SPX 15 minute chart shows the small gap:

charts-d.quote.com:443/977894012630?User=demo&Pswd=demo&DataType=GIF&Symbol=CME:SP01H&Interval=30&Ht=400&Wd=600&Display=0&Study=&Param1=&Param2=&Param3=&FontSize=10&BgColor=0.255.0&TBgColor=0.255.0

On the SPH March Futures contract the gap to get filled is at SPH 1,290 - 1,300 level the 10 miute chart:

charts-d.quote.com:443/977897766410?User=demo&Pswd=demo&DataType=GIF&Symbol=CME:SP01H&Interval=10&Ht=400&Wd=600&Display=0&Study=RSI&Param1=5&Param2=&Param3=&FontSize=10&BgColor=0.255.0&TBgColor=0.255.0

and 15 minute SPH chart:

charts-d.quote.com:443/977897696430?User=demo&Pswd=demo&DataType=GIF&Symbol=CME:SP01H&Interval=15&Ht=400&Wd=600&Display=0&Study=RSI&Param1=5&Param2=&Param3=&FontSize=10&BgColor=0.255.0&TBgColor=0.255.0

More heartache and disappointment ahead nearterm for long positions.

100% Short SPX URSA Fund

Best regards, J.T.
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