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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: Rick who wrote (37290)12/31/2000 2:31:32 PM
From: gdichaz  Read Replies (1) of 54805
 
Fred: You have raised a fascinating question of how to measure quality by quantitative means. Not easy.

As I have mentioned before, I once spent some time on this and am convinced that a series of quantitative indicators can give some clues for further analysis but not ever sufficient for a valid decision.

For example, the question is why is the "strong buy" being recommended? And who specifically is making that recommendation? (For example, perhaps less weight (to put it mildly) might be given to the strong buy recommendations in the wireless field by Marc Cabi and Ed Synder who seem to have an agenda than some others who seem to have done more serious homework and analysis)

Also the herd instinct is alive and well among analysts.

I would suggest that one of the great advantages of this thread is the chance to learn substance in some depth about technologies and companies who are tech leaders.

I would think that might be a better indicator than the ratio of "strong buys" by analysts.

Having said all that, probably a strong buy ratio is a useful initial indicator of where DD might be fruitful.

See it as a start for analysis, but at some point, plain ole judgement based on non quantifiable stuff has a role IMO.

Best.

Cha2
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