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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed
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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (52504)1/1/2001 3:55:41 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (3) of 436258
 
Heinz; I was doing a search on Moons when I found your
post. I have been convinced that a Full Moon / New Moon
has some effect on how people trade .
superforce.com
seems to say it's due to more/less ions , however
they base their ion predictions on Full/New Moon
------------
While it may be due to ion change , if the ion change
is due to the stages of the moon I want to calculate
my own.
What I don't like about superforce.com is all their
self congratulatory hype about gains made with their
system.
1 they use "leverage" two ways to enhance the results
against a flat trade.. ( tahts far from apples to apples )
2 they assume trades were made at the best price
of the day.. ( not anyone is going to get taht good )
-----------
1 I will do a back test not leveraged, but flat
( but this is going to take some time )
2 I will look at both best and worst case trades made
within the same time windows. (To obtain a mean average)
3 I will go beyond just Full/New Moon stages and
see if the Perigee / Apogee of the Moon related to
the stages alters the results. ( The P/A sure has
a strong effect on tidal differences with the
strongest tidal effects when the Perigee happens
on a New Moon.)
------------
If this is an ion effect the opposing effect of a
New Moon on Perigee would be a Full Moon on Apogee.

If it's just tidal or gravitation all we need to do
is compare times of Maximum Spring Tides, to the Minimum
Neep Tides & any good tide book can give me that
without my having to calculate the Moon Stages.
----------
If I do come up with some consistent
results that show profits can be made "position trading"
within a time window under the worst case of interday
buy/sells then we are home free.

If you or any one else wants to look at moon stages
over time here is a calculator that does the
Full/New & Perigee/Apogee times past and forward
over years.
It is also down loadable to you hard drive and
will calculate off line ( if you have JavaScript enabled;)
fourmilab.to
-------------

This idea is not base on Astrology, of which I have no faith
in. I'm convinced the Moon effect is based on its tidal effects, or perhaps changes it makes to ion concentration however which ever one; there is more than enough evidence that there is a wide spread high/low emotional effect on people that coincides with the stages of the Moon.
-------------
I will add that superforce is saying that the best
times for people ( good moods etc ) are the worst
times for markets & Taht makes sense to me.
As markets do seem to dive just about when every one
gets goo goo happy.<G>
Jim
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