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Gold/Mining/Energy : Copper - analysis

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To: Robert Douglas who wrote (227)1/1/2001 8:44:21 PM
From: Stephen O  Read Replies (1) of 2131
 
From the London Financial Times 27 Dec 2000

Copper's relative resilience reflects the abrupt change in the perceived
supply-demand balance. There has been a sharp reduction in stocks since the
start of the year, and the lack of big new mining projects due to commence
production in the near term means that many analysts are fundamentally bullish
about prospects. The metal's fans also point out that many new technologies rely
on copper wiring.
Forecasts for base metal prices vary
considerably, depending on the analysts' views of the macroeconomic outlook.

Those who are concerned about the possibility of a "hard landing" for the US
economy are extremely cautious. Already, many of the leading indicators are
suggesting reduced demand for base metals in most of the main consuming
regions, and the latest round of cuts from carmakers is adding to the gloom. But
more resilient forecasters argue that the bad news is already in the price, and
although they expect prices to remain subdued in the short term, they remain
bullish in the longer term, particularly for copper.
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