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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets

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To: herringbone_100 who wrote (2794)	1/3/2001 4:53:00 PM
From: Henry Volquardsen	Read Replies (1) of 3536

Hi H, sorry for the delay in responding, I was away for awhile. You asked what impact a strengthening of German/Russian political and economic ties could have on the euro and in general the European alliance? At this point in history I don't think it would have any dramatic impacts and would probably be a good thing in general for the West. Germany is inextricably part of the West in general and the European Union in specific. Germany is not abandoning the West. Most of the concerns about Germany turning East are based either on historic fears of German expansionism or fears of Soviet era Russian expansion west. Those are issues of the past. Russia is now an economic basket case and is looking west for aid not expansion. Germany cemented itself into the West with the Euro. This was an explicit decision on Kohl's part. The only possible effect, imo, would be if Germany over exposed itself to the Russian economy and suffered losses. This would weaken the Euro but no more than if they had made bad investments in any other part of the world. Henry

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