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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)
CSCO 81.16-2.4%Feb 4 3:59 PM EST

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To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (45987)1/4/2001 11:15:48 AM
From: The Phoenix   of 77400
 
SO,

Do you see what's wrong with this thinking??? Think about it....

With the current price to
earnings ratio, dividend yields (including share buybacks) are approximately 2.0 percent of share prices.
Inflation indexed government bonds are providing a 4.0 percent real return. This means that to provide the
historic 4.0 percentage point premium over bonds, real share prices would have to rise by 6.0 percent
annually. Unless the price to earnings ratio grows still more (leading to an even more over-valued market),
profits would have to grow at the rate of 6.0 percent annually, in real terms.
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