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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 101.44+3.5%Nov 12 4:00 PM EST

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To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (62463)1/4/2001 1:40:07 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) of 116758
 
Slider:

The dollar rallied yesterday primarily because it was heavily oversold short-term -- not because of intervention. The dollar's rally was a one day wonder -- the greenback is getting trashed again today. But gold is getting hit anyway.

I don't see how one can argue that the boys are trashing gold to support the dollar. Gold is in the dumps, but the dollar is down sharply regardless. The main motivation to trash gold here is simply to support the huge bullion bank short position.

There are only 3 scenarios I can envision that could move gold up in a big way -- and none of them is very probable

The bullion banks and CBs lose control

European CBs take a more pro-gold approach by cutting gold sales and gold lending.

A crisis develops that fundamentally shakes investor faith in the ability of the powers that be to keep things on an even keel.
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