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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)

CSCO 78.24

-0.2%

3:31 PM EST

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To: Ed Forrest who wrote (46083)	1/5/2001 3:13:17 PM
From: GVTucker	Read Replies (1) of 77400

Ed, RE: I don't know who sets the odds you speak of, but I'd liken it to the same odds makers saying that Tiger Woods isn't capable of reaching any par 5 in 2. My guess as to the probability of Tiger reaching a given par 5 in 2 is about 50%, maybe more. In the past 5 years to date, CSCO has returned 53% annualized. If your expectation is the norm among CSCO shareholders, then this stock has a whole lot more downside than I previously thought.

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