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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets
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To: Ahda who wrote (2870)1/5/2001 4:55:38 PM
From: Henry Volquardsen  Read Replies (4) of 3536
 
Hi Darleen,

We had a Japanese style boom the kind that go kerplunk.

You are not the first person I have heard make this analysis. With all due respect, I think the analysis is based on some shallow similarities and really misses the point. The nature of the Japanese economic structure at the end of the 80s and the US of the last few years is dramatically different. The only real similarity was equity markets. That is not to say there are not excesses in the US that may take time to work off but the US will be doing it with an economic structure that is on much sounder footing and a banking system that is healthier than it has been in decades. (This is where someone will make an observation on derivatives exposure and I'll start speechifying about how misunderstood derivatives are and how they are not a big problem at all smile).

Henry
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