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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 683.00+0.2%Nov 11 4:00 PM EST

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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (66085)1/6/2001 10:56:55 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu   of 99985
 
If we will have a smart administration and even smarter congress and cooperation from Europe we can avoid your scenario.

1. Shrub finally will agree that first he is paying down the US debt as the main issue for a healthy economy

2. The congress will agree to shore up the budget and first pay down the debt and then go along with Shrub to lower income taxes selectively and broader taxes across the board at a rate of 20% of so called surpluses.

Result very low interest rates on a relative basis 3% ?? possible.

3. Europe will stop their political bickering and open markets and support business reform deregulation and true Euro integration

4. China will drift even more to capitalistic enterprises and start open their market, and recognize Taiwan as it is in hope for reunification

5. India will stop their internal bickering and focus on productivity and profitable enterprises and eliminate bribes

6. Russia at large flush with funds from energy revenue will channel the money in public works, rule of law and rebuilding their economic infrastructure.

7. OPEC will realize that oil revenue do better in prosperous financial markets than money market accounts and hold oil prices around $24 to $26 a barrel.

8. Arafat and his leadership will dissapear as will Mubarak and Saddam in Iraq and more moderate Westeren Style leaders will emerge in the ME (well this is a strech I admit)

It sounds a bit to optimistic but duable the question is will they garner the wisdom.

BWDIK
Haim
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