Hey, Jill, I fear I am often too optimistic, in mid September, I posted to you the following: Message 14398775
there, I did not expect the late February decline to get below 2950, well, I already was too optimistic by 700 naz points (of course, I refined the model since September, on Steve's thread, but that does not negate the fact that basically, I am too optimistic....). The timings for entries and exits on that post were actually better than I expected for such "long range planning", the exogenous effect that threw a "monkey wrench" in the "master plan" was, of course, the unexpected Florida debacle after November 7th.
Come and visit Steve's thread from time to time, that is where I spend most of my time.
Good luck out there.
Zeev |