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Strategies & Market Trends : Piffer OT - And Other Assorted Nuts

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To: Rich1 who wrote (63043)1/7/2001 9:37:49 PM
From: Patrick Slevin  Read Replies (1) of 63513
 
The 1929 cut was way too late, matter of fact there was a lot of political pressure that kept Ben Strong from implementing it earlier.

Um, it is my opinion that Mr. Hayes is playing with statistics and his piece has no bearing on reality.

For example, his remark that "There is the exceptional situation where the rate was cut early in a recession. The market didn’t react well," he said. That was the case in 1960 and 1981.

Well is that the case now? He does not say. So the result of all this shall still be from the benefit of hindsight.

The one benefit to derive from this is the lesson that one may look to the media to say a lot and at the same time say nothing.

Ned Davis Research, by the way, is supposed to be excellent. I'm not saying the observation is incorrect, just that the prognostication is not clear.
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