WDC/Sandisk Corporation Message Board

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Technology Stocks : WDC/Sandisk Corporation

WDC 221.51

-0.3%

Jan 16 9:30 AM EST

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To: Starlight who wrote (18123)	1/10/2001 4:38:40 PM
From: Art Bechhoefer	Read Replies (1) of 60323

Elizabeth, regarding the Brian Wien predictions, note that he places a probability of about 50 percent on them. To understand what this really means, please note that if the probability of an outcome being in line with the prediction is 50 percent, then the probability of the outome NOT being in line with the prediction is also 50 percent. In other words, one could make a random decision by throwing darts at a board or drawing numbers out of a hat and get the same reliability and validity as these "valuable" predictions. More nonsense from a firm that ought to know better. Art

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