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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: DownSouth who wrote (37781)1/11/2001 10:41:52 AM
From: Bruce Brown  Read Replies (1) of 54805
 
DS - Great posts on SAN/NAS, EMC, Network Appliance, WAFL, etc... . Thanks for the effort. In terms of the G&K portfolio parade.

Moving on to interest rate cut cycles and the history of the stock market following the cuts, I read an interesting post which I link below.

I highly recommend reading the post which comes from Tobin Smith's Changewave website. The subject matter is the historical results of 21 interest rate cut cycles since the FED was founded in 1913 and the results on the stock market put together by Ned Davis Research. Note that on 17 of the 21 occasions, the stock market responded with that first rate cut being the bottom. The other 4 times the bottom was marked by the second rate cut being the bottom. We've had one rate cut and the FED is meeting at the end of this month. The bond market has already priced in a cut at that meeting. Time will tell if history proves to be in line this time around as the previous 21 times. Is the market beginning to look beyond bad news, or is that process not yet worked out of the system?

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