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Technology Stocks : Stratex Networks, Inc. (STXN)

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To: akmike who wrote (1249)1/11/2001 2:55:39 PM
From: Rob Preuss  Read Replies (2) of 1762
 
Mike,

Your expectations on gross margins are too high. Here's
an excerpt from my Q2FY01 Conference call notes:

>Gross Margins Q2 FY01: 31.6%
>Gross Margins Q2 FY00: 30.1%
>Gross Margins Q1 FY01: 35.2%
>
>We expected margins to decline from the previous quarter due to product mix,
>customer mix, and factory costs we’d incur as we focussed on ramping production.
>I’d expected about a 1-2% decrease, however Spectrum II revenues were higher
>than anticipated as we shipped additional product to satisfy critical customer
>needs. In addition, we incurred additional costs in San Jose and Seattle to
>increase production levels and expand capacity. Also margin on service revenue
>was lower his quarter as we expanded staffing and increased some of the base
>costs in anticipation of a growing service business going forward. I do expect
>to see an increase in margins for Q3 of about 1% to 32-33% an another increase
>in Q4 to 33.5-34.5%. Although somewhat lower than prior estimates for this
>year, we believe our long-term financial model with margins of 36-38% is still
>appropriate as the manufacturing process, supply chain, and yield improvement
>programs we’re currently working on produce results over the next 12 months.

And here's an excerpt from the notes I made following a
telephone discussion with STXN's VP of Marketing and Sales:

>Shawn confirmed for me that these ultra-high-capacity
>products will likely have higher margins than Altium.
>Moreover, he felt that the sale of these new products
>would NOT cannibalize their Altium sales... they are
>more-or-less complementary to the Altium products...
>For example: a customer using several Altium or DX-R
>radios (e.g., to reach a client's building) might
>need 1 or 2 of these higher-capacity products to
>carry all that data back to a fiber facility. So
>my guess is that, 12-15 months from now, they'll
>sell 15 OC12 (622 Mbps) radios and 30 OC6 (311 Mbps)
>radios for every 100 OC3 (155 Mbps) radios they sell.

I recommend you read all these notes...

Q2 FY01 Press Release
Message 14600654
Q2 FY01 Statement of Operations:
Message 14600667
Q2 FY01 Conference Call Summary: Part I (Financial)
Message 14618537
Q2 FY01 Conference Call Summary: Part II (Operational)
Message 14623465
Q2 FY01 Conference Call Summary: Part III (Outlook)
Message 14631707
Q2 FY01 Conference Call Summary: Part IV (Q&A)
Message 14641795
Notes from conversation I had with STXN's VP Marketing
Message 14715039
Text summary of STXN slide presentation at AEA Financial conference
Message 14738594

Rob
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