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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM)

QCOM 175.60

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To: tekboy who wrote (91668)	1/12/2001 5:14:54 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (3) of 152472

<Re China, the recently leaked "Tiananmen Papers" offer a fascinating look into the decisionmaking processes of the Chinese leadership. > Not so different from the decision-making process most places, including the USA. Listening in on Nixon is interesting. Imagine the Bay of Pigs discussions, with Marilyn 'on the phone'. Discussions about how to quell the trivial student demonstration at Kent State [a million at Tiananmen and a few thousand at Kent State would make the kill ratio similar] and the rulers were not under threat. Now we hear that there was a bit of village clearing-out in Korea [the Nazis used to take revenge on towns too for any resistance]. Plus ca change. The question is, will Condoleezza Rice and George keep their six-gun in its holster or will they show bullying bravado and result in cancellation of CDMA in China [or even worse]? I'm not pretending it's easy to deal with totalitarian regimes on normal trading terms. Waving a piece of paper after a friendly 'peace in our time' treaty isn't as solid as having some missile defence systems. If China doesn't like missile defences, I'd say they should get used to them. They could build some themselves. Japan might not always be neighbourly. I think that China is nowhere near the ignorant racist barbarity of the Nazis, but they sure do like to keep stringent control and conduct rallies which look unnervingly like a Nuremberg rally to celebrate 50 years of happy communist totalitarianism. Jiang Zemin is undoubtedly a highly intelligent civilized person. But power is a dangerous euphoria-inducer. Same as everywhere. Clinton was happy to block LAX to finish his haircut when he was first elected. The Presidency was a LOT of fun for him and he loved the power and attention. I dare say we have NOT seen the last of Bill. Maybe a spot of running a recharged and overarching United Nations wouldn't be beneath him. I wouldn't put it past him to have a go. But maybe his ambition is fading now. Fingers crossed for CDMA in China! Condoleezza should practise on East Timor, which she knows something about. Indonesia is rumbling and heading for a big split up into smaller countries. Good. Maybe she could help that process. Gwynne Dyer 142.27.12.158 thinks that democracy in China could be nearer than people think. He is a very astute observer. His arguments made sense. Mainly, the old guard [who lived through forests of rifles and seas of blood] are getting old. The new ones don't have the stomach for gross repression and one, still under house arrest, even suggested democratic solutions to the Tiananmen problem. Mqurice

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