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Technology Stocks : Vignette Corporation (VIGN)

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To: Hungry Investor who wrote (547)1/14/2001 10:04:48 PM
From: Carl R.  Read Replies (1) of 628
 
As for averaging down, I haven't made any trades in this stock at all since our last conversation (though I was tempted to buy a bit more at 11). As I indicated at the time my holdings are nominal and long term. I am perfectly willing to hold for a few more years and see what happens. I think the stock will definitely be worth more in the future than it is today.

As for top line growth, it is certainly isn't a new metric. PE ratio has never been the only valuation method, though it is certainly a good one. Even at this price VIGN still has a fairly high PSR however, and realistically it will need to at least double in the next year to justify the current price, but I think it can do that. Either that, or VIGN will have to start earning some pretty fat margins. LOL

Seriously, VIGN is projected to earn $.11 over the next year, and that implies a forward PE ratio of about 130 at the current price. With VIGN growing at 300% that isn't unreasonable at all, and if they can manage to continue to grow at near 100% there is still some room for upside.

Good luck,

Carl
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