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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 37.31-0.5%11:33 AM EST

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To: tejek who wrote (125103)1/16/2001 6:51:56 PM
From: Road Walker  Read Replies (1) of 186894
 
Ted,

It's counter intuitive, but I think the increase in cap ex may be helping (the stock price). It gives investors the impression that although things look bad today, Intel has confidence in the future. And they are putting real dollars behind that confidence.

The three reasons for the light 1Q forecast (Otellini)

1. Normal seasonal slowdown
2. Channel system, not processor, inventory (they tried to play this down, but it was a concern).
3. Economic situation

I had the feeling that if they had to rate these in importance, they would be in inverse order. The world economic slowdown seems to be foremost in their calculations (or lack of ability to forecast), as they said distributor sales (not OEM) actually increased towards the end of December.

I'm as uncertain as they are.

John
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