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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH
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To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (122547)1/18/2001 2:15:50 PM
From: H-Man  Read Replies (1) of 769667
 
I wouldn't make any assumptions or predictions based on the statistics. Miami Dade was supposed to yield 600 votes for Gore. It netted between 6 and 100 for Bush, depending on how you count them.

If you consider that all of the heavily democratic counties have been counted, If you let Broward county recount stand *, What remains is mostly republican. Following the logic path of the statistics argument leads to the conclusion that it would net votes for Bush.

Before the Miami Dade re-count result was known, I had stood behind that statistics assumption, but since the Miami-Dade recount is exactly opposite of what was expected and predicted by statistics, well who the hell knows.

H

* The fairness and accuracy of the Broward count has been called into question by the Miami Herald. This lends credence to the Bush stance on the manual recounts. It also dramatizes your point of how can we run an election when we cant trust those counting the votes, imo.
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