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Technology Stocks : The *NEW* Frank Coluccio Technology Forum

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To: Theophile who wrote (1819)1/19/2001 2:46:41 AM
From: axial  Read Replies (1) of 46821
 
"I see coercion more so than conditions behind the current power snafu.'

One wonders why so many prefer to see conspiracy in the current power shortage, instead of simple human fallibility.

The conditions that predate the shortage are real, documented, and verifiable: the growth in population, increased industrial demand, the failure to build new generation capacity, and the continued marketing of natural gas in the face of a 6 year gap in production increases.

There it is: a recipe for disaster. The other factors at play, including the question of whether the price of power is real or jacked-up, all derive from these precedents.

In the presence of abundant power, and the energy to produce it, none of the problems would exist.

Who is at fault? Everyone. The voters, the politicians, the utes, everyone. Why?

Because nobody was given responsibility. Nobody was entrusted with the task of having an overview, of projecting future needs from present capabilities, and of creating the conditions where industry could then address the issues: generation, exploration, infrastructure.

Free markets excel at dealing with abundance. Abundance creates the necessary competitive atmosphere to distribute an excess.

Scarcity needs oversight. Scarcity needs planning, and discipline.

California created scarcity by accident, not design. There was no conspiracy. The various outcomes of scarcity, in human affairs, are a matter of unpleasant and well-documented history.

There is no mechanism by which the free market can properly address the problems created by this scarcity. Even if every player now partook in a public-spirited effort to solve the problem, the result would be chaos. That is the strength, and the weakness of the free market: independence.

The situation begs for control. Without the institution of discipline in usage, without some form of rationing, and without a coherent plan, the people of California will suffer.

Anathema: the salvation will be regulation, as it should be: analyze the shortage, design interim strategies to get everyone through, and institute a plan for recovery. That plan should be designed to allow industry to do what it does best: innovate, produce, and profit.

In the end, ordinary people, the voters, are responsible for the world they create. If they create a world where industry fails them, then they are to blame. If they create a world in which they, and the industries that provide for them, can prosper, then they are to blame.

Lawsuits may gratify, but how many bulbs will they light?

California needs a strategy, with the will of the people behind it, and the political leadership to make it work.

JM2C

Jim
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