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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 671.910.0%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: Les H who wrote (67259)1/20/2001 6:11:22 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (3) of 99985
 
Market/Sector Breadth Journal: January 19, 2000 (3774 stocks)

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Jan 19 64 67 61 45 801 - 769 680 - 437 552 - 239 40 - 17
Jan 18 69 70 63 45 1185 - 519 974 - 313 789 - 171 82 - 14
Jan 17 69 71 61 44 1324 - 420 1030 - 250 773 - 146 92 - 24
Jan 16 70 71 59 45 1502 - 362 1004 - 218 791 - 133 135 - 24
Jan 12 65 67 56 43 1344 - 400 878 - 277 603 - 153 56 - 14
Jan 11 63 65 54 42 1397 - 415 962 - 294 637 - 175 74 - 21
Jan 10 54 57 50 42 879 - 456 677 - 263 435 - 163 63 - 47
Jan 9 47 51 46 40 568 - 684 467 - 486 301 - 284 45 - 90
Jan 8 47 49 44 40 395 - 859 332 - 541 217 - 392 48 - 167
Jan 5 53 51 45 41 433 - 984 388 - 537 226 - 409 38 - 134
Jan 4 68 59 49 43 1148 - 753 977 - 462 593 - 283 96 - 59
Jan 3 73 63 51 43 1401 - 444 1046 - 177 558 - 104 107 - 43
Jan 2 51 47 43 39 484 - 1082 316 - 446 190 - 332 35 - 151
Dec 29 69 58 48 42 1142 - 330 717 - 225 482 - 166 144 - 103
Dec 28 69 58 48 42 1947 - 220 1253 - 185 902 - 148 363 - 104
Dec 27 56 50 43 40 1481 - 373 956 - 331 732 - 265 325 - 169
Dec 26 46 44 40 38 1001 - 511 676 - 462 540 - 378 267 - 243
Dec 22 41 42 39 37 996 - 394 591 - 338 472 - 269 181 - 157
Dec 21 30 34 35 34 589 - 1280 387 - 1111 313 - 869 128 - 520
Dec 20 25 30 32 33 341 - 2024 239 - 1709 178 - 1216 88 - 638

Nasdaq 100

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ----------
Jan 19 2655 75 75 55 36 28 - 7 24 - 3 0 - 1
Jan 18 2670 82 80 57 35 44 - 1 37 - 0 1 - 0
Jan 17 2558 74 72 45 26 32 - 3 18 - 2 1 - 0
Jan 16 2470 71 63 39 23 13 - 2 5 - 1 0 - 0
Jan 12 2506 77 64 39 26 21 - 4 9 - 3 0 - 0
Jan 11 2524 73 65 42 23 38 - 5 26 - 3 1 - 1
Jan 10 2413 55 50 29 22 21 - 3 11 - 2 0 - 0
Jan 9 2311 44 37 25 18 11 - 6 5 - 3 0 - 0
Jan 8 2281 39 30 24 18 4 - 12 0 - 12 0 - 3
Jan 5 2267 32 38 21 18 4 - 16 0 - 14 0 - 3
Jan 4 2460 68 43 31 23 21 - 8 11 - 7 0 - 1
Jan 3 2528 80 53 35 27 36 - 1 14 - 0 1 - 0
Jan 2 2128 13 11 11 15 2 - 38 1 - 34 0 - 17
Dec 29 2341 37 28 19 23 4 - 7 3 - 7 0 - 6
Dec 28 2464 60 44 30 28 19 - 5 9 - 3 1 - 2
Dec 27 2460 53 42 28 29 16 - 3 9 - 2 2 - 1
Dec 26 2404 43 35 24 25 4 - 5 3 - 4 1 - 2
Dec 22 2436 38 38 28 24 10 - 7 5 - 7 0 - 3
Dec 21 2224 12 14 14 15 3 - 37 1 - 25 0 - 15
Dec 20 2210 4 6 8 16 0 - 72 0 - 46 0 - 24

S & P 100

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ----------
Jan 19 705 44 47 47 54 12 - 21 10 - 12 0 - 0
Jan 18 704 55 49 50 57 21 - 15 18 - 10 1 - 0
Jan 17 691 47 53 50 57 11 - 13 10 - 9 2 - 0
Jan 16 693 52 53 53 61 13 - 8 12 - 4 3 - 0
Jan 12 687 40 46 44 52 9 - 21 7 - 12 2 - 0
Jan 11 693 44 50 48 53 13 - 23 9 - 12 2 - 0
Jan 10 684 37 52 47 55 11 - 13 7 - 8 1 - 0
Jan 9 679 35 51 50 55 7 - 16 2 - 7 0 - 1
Jan 8 677 38 48 45 58 6 - 5 5 - 4 1 - 1
Jan 5 681 40 50 45 58 6 - 13 5 - 10 2 - 1
Jan 4 700 59 55 45 62 35 - 29 21 - 19 5 - 0
Jan 3 703 62 62 57 65 33 - 11 17 - 4 4 - 0
Jan 2 667 50 59 54 57 8 - 13 4 - 13 1 - 4
Dec 29 686 73 63 59 59 15 - 6 7 - 5 3 - 3
Dec 28 692 74 65 62 58 35 - 6 23 - 6 10 - 5
Dec 27 691 71 59 59 58 32 - 3 24 - 3 12 - 2
Dec 26 687 58 55 58 54 29 - 6 24 - 5 12 - 2
Dec 22 684 50 46 53 52 20 - 10 17 - 8 4 - 3
Dec 21 668 43 47 52 48 17 - 13 12 - 12 2 - 5
Dec 20 661 36 40 46 47 16 - 39 10 - 29 6 - 11

AIQ market log (buy - sell ratios of signals for stocks >= 7 and ADV >= 75,000)

Unconfirmed Signals (US)
market DJIA SPX OTC Universe SPX OEX NDX
----------------- ------ ----- ----- -------- -------- -------- --------
Jan 19 10,587 1342 2770 33 - 67 65 - 35 64 - 36 12 - 88
Jan 18 10,678 1347 2768 29 - 71 61 - 39 62 - 38 14 - 86
Jan 17 10,584 1329 2682 29 - 71 60 - 40 57 - 43 20 - 80
Jan 16 10,652 1326 2618 31 - 69 60 - 40 60 - 40 22 - 78
Jan 12 10,525 1318 2626 35 - 65 62 - 38 63 - 37 22 - 78
Jan 11 10,609 1326 2640 44 - 56 59 - 41 57 - 43 22 - 78
Jan 10 10,604 1313 2524 52 - 48 57 - 43 50 - 50 33 - 67
Jan 9 10,572 1300 2441 57 - 43 60 - 40 56 - 44 50 - 50
Jan 8 10,621 1295 2395 52 - 48 54 - 46 56 - 44 50 - 50
Jan 5 10,662 1298 2407 47 - 53 52 - 48 56 - 44 50 - 50
Jan 4 10,912 1333 2566 33 - 67 37 - 63 36 - 64 29 - 71
Jan 3 10,945 1347 2616 20 - 80 14 - 86 17 - 83 0 -100
Jan 2 10,646 1283 2291 28 - 72 21 - 79 12 - 88 67 - 33
Dec 29 10,786 1320 2470 17 - 83 10 - 90 9 - 91 33 - 67
Dec 28 10,868 1334 2557 18 - 82 12 - 88 10 - 90 50 - 50
Dec 27 10,803 1328 2539 35 - 65 23 - 77 10 - 90 60 - 40
Dec 26 10,692 1315 2493 52 - 48 33 - 67 20 - 80 60 - 40
Dec 22 10,635 1305 2517 59 - 41 43 - 57 45 - 55 75 - 25
Dec 21 10,487 1274 2340 68 - 32 49 - 51 55 - 45 100 - 0
Dec 20 10,318 1264 2332 69 - 31 57 - 43 58 - 42 100 - 0

January 19

Weighted Action List (WAL) Unconfirmed Signals (US)

Universe 33 - 67 33 - 67
S&P 500 (SPX) 22 - 78 65 - 35
S&P 100 (OEX) 16 - 84 64 - 36
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) 47 - 53 12 - 88

Nine Month Cycle

cycle tendencies
10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low
May 24 start start start 1361 none
Jun 16 green green green 1464 +103 1483 +122 N.A.
Jul 10 yellow green green 1475 + 11 1488 + 24 1436 - 28
Aug 2 red yellow green 1438 - 37 1517 + 42 1414 - 61
Aug 25 green yellow green 1506 + 68 1513 + 75 1426 - 12
Sep 15 yellow red yellow 1465 - 38 1530 + 24 1460 - 46
Oct 11 red red yellow 1364 - 99 1467 + 2 1349 -115
Nov 3 green green yellow 1426 + 62 1433 + 67 1305 - 59
Nov 27 yellow green yellow 1348 - 78 1438 + 12 1321 -105
Dec 20 red yellow red 1264 - 84 1389 + 41 1261 - 87
Jan 12 green yellow red 1318 + 54 1350 + 86 1254 - 10
Feb 03 yellow red red 1342 + 24 1354 + 36 1313 - 5
Feb 28 red red red ???? ????

10-week cycle variances

extension to high extension to low
max average min max average min
green +9.0% +6.3% +4.9% -4.3% -2.6% -0.8%
yellow +1.6% +1.4% +0.8% -7.4% -4.1% -1.9%
red +3.2% +2.1% +0.1% -7.9% -6.1% -4.1%

Sector Breadth

percent stocks over MA *********** 20-day highs/lows ************
sector (num) 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 1/19 1/18 1/17 1/16
---------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Aerospace/Defense (48) 55 64 55 60 6 - 2 10 - 3 9 - 5 9 - 2
Apparel (84) 62 75 77 63 6 - 3 20 - 1 24 - 1 28 - 1
Automotive (36) 58 81 72 31 5 - 0 10 - 0 7 - 1 14 - 1
Banks (116) 39 48 84 86 3 - 14 13 - 8 15 - 1 18 - 0
Biotechnology (157) 76 60 34 16 15 - 3 12 - 2 21 - 1 27 - 3
Building/Constr (105) 54 66 76 68 9 - 5 19 - 3 26 - 1 31 - 1
Chemical (61) 38 48 59 56 6 - 14 10 - 3 9 - 2 9 - 4
Commercial Svcs (178) 64 72 67 48 20 - 6 26 - 4 28 - 5 34 - 10
Computer Svcs (48) 56 65 54 38 10 - 1 7 - 2 11 - 2 10 - 2
Computer Equip (137) 82 86 57 18 39 - 5 48 - 3 35 - 2 24 - 1
Consumer Nondur (38) 63 66 63 47 5 - 2 7 - 1 8 - 3 10 - 1
Drug (ex-Biotech) (92) 53 40 33 39 3 - 11 11 - 5 11 - 5 11 - 0
Electronics (323) 88 90 73 25 96 - 3 162 - 5 131 - 4 61 - 4
Financial (106) 56 59 76 84 6 - 9 11 - 8 11 - 4 14 - 6
Foods (65) 42 43 52 77 3 - 16 9 - 9 11 - 4 9 - 2
Healthcare (95) 40 34 46 69 9 - 27 10 - 15 9 - 15 13 - 10
Household Prods (38) 84 89 95 53 9 - 0 13 - 0 16 - 0 16 - 0
Insurance (91) 31 24 34 63 7 - 23 5 - 13 6 - 7 7 - 10
Internet (250) 85 82 46 4 53 - 5 49 - 3 52 - 3 57 - 1
Leisure (109) 73 76 66 54 14 - 3 25 - 1 25 - 4 31 - 3
Machinery (46) 65 78 67 65 6 - 2 4 - 2 6 - 0 12 - 0
Media (87) 75 84 86 48 13 - 1 21 - 0 26 - 0 35 - 1
Medical Tech (123) 69 64 46 34 19 - 7 16 - 6 16 - 9 22 - 6
Metals (ex-Gold) (69) 58 67 70 41 7 - 3 11 - 2 10 - 2 17 - 2
Oil & Gas (180) 24 34 59 66 8 - 19 9 - 42 14 - 17 34 - 4
Paper Prods & Pkg (44) 30 45 59 43 0 - 10 3 - 5 3 - 2 6 - 1
Real Estate (121) 59 59 74 76 15 - 11 20 - 5 18 - 11 23 - 13
Retail (228) 66 76 67 57 26 - 7 45 - 4 58 - 3 70 - 8
Semiconductors (158) 95 96 77 20 45 - 0 96 - 0 76 - 1 17 - 3
Software (166) 82 81 62 31 39 - 2 53 - 2 52 - 5 33 - 3
Telecom (282) 83 88 66 12 78 - 6 100 - 2 86 - 0 71 - 4
Transportation (76) 39 64 66 64 4 - 3 7 - 0 13 - 2 19 - 1
Utilities (116) 53 28 33 66 6 - 10 12 - 6 8 - 22 6 - 27

percent stocks over MA *********** 10-day highs/lows ************
sector (num) 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 1/19 1/18 1/17 1/16
---------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Aerospace/Defense (48) 55 64 55 60 6 - 7 11 - 6 11 - 8 11 - 3
Apparel (84) 62 75 77 63 7 - 18 21 - 4 28 - 1 32 - 1
Automotive (36) 58 81 72 31 5 - 3 10 - 2 8 - 2 15 - 3
Banks (116) 39 48 84 86 4 - 31 16 - 22 21 - 6 19 - 5
Biotechnology (157) 76 60 34 16 21 - 6 30 - 4 30 - 2 50 - 4
Building/Constr (105) 54 66 76 68 12 - 24 23 - 12 31 - 5 35 - 4
Chemical (61) 38 48 59 56 7 - 22 11 - 7 10 - 5 10 - 8
Commercial Svcs (178) 64 72 67 48 26 - 13 32 - 12 37 - 9 41 - 13
Computer Svcs (48) 56 65 54 38 13 - 2 12 - 3 13 - 3 16 - 4
Computer Equip (137) 82 86 57 18 49 - 7 57 - 5 51 - 4 38 - 5
Consumer Nondur (38) 63 66 63 47 6 - 2 9 - 2 10 - 3 10 - 4
Drug (ex-Biotech) (92) 53 40 33 39 6 - 14 16 - 5 17 - 6 17 - 1
Electronics (323) 88 90 73 25 108 - 6 182 - 5 168 - 6 80 - 5
Financial (106) 56 59 76 84 8 - 14 16 - 17 15 - 4 15 - 8
Foods (65) 42 43 52 77 3 - 18 12 - 10 14 - 9 11 - 5
Healthcare (95) 40 34 46 69 11 - 32 14 - 17 11 - 17 14 - 11
Household Prods (38) 84 89 95 53 9 - 0 14 - 0 17 - 1 18 - 1
Insurance (91) 31 24 34 63 10 - 28 6 - 16 7 - 14 8 - 16
Internet (250) 85 82 46 4 73 - 8 75 - 5 103 - 5 85 - 3
Leisure (109) 73 76 66 54 19 - 8 33 - 3 29 - 7 36 - 5
Machinery (46) 65 78 67 65 6 - 5 5 - 5 9 - 2 15 - 1
Media (87) 75 84 86 48 14 - 3 23 - 2 29 - 2 36 - 3
Medical Tech (123) 69 64 46 34 23 - 10 24 - 8 26 - 11 34 - 7
Metals (ex-Gold) (69) 58 67 70 41 9 - 5 13 - 4 11 - 7 20 - 3
Oil & Gas (180) 24 34 59 66 13 - 38 11 - 66 15 - 36 38 - 14
Paper Prods & Pkg (44) 30 45 59 43 0 - 15 3 - 15 4 - 6 8 - 4
Real Estate (121) 59 59 74 76 19 - 16 20 - 9 19 - 16 26 - 14
Retail (228) 66 76 67 57 31 - 26 49 - 15 70 - 9 79 - 12
Semiconductors (158) 95 96 77 20 49 - 0 104 - 0 97 - 2 27 - 3
Software (166) 82 81 62 31 52 - 7 70 - 5 71 - 5 52 - 3
Telecom (282) 83 88 66 12 83 - 11 119 - 5 120 - 2 97 - 6
Transportation (76) 39 64 66 64 4 - 22 8 - 7 14 - 4 20 - 5
Utilities (116) 53 28 33 66 12 - 12 14 - 6 9 - 25 7 - 30
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