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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates
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To: Sunny who wrote (38334)1/23/2001 11:11:48 PM
From: Rick  Read Replies (1) of 54805
 
Hi, all:
Has anyone noticed the "forecast my portfolio" button on the portfolios? According to SI the WW portfolio has a 57% change of doubling in 15 years (!) That is, it is more likely than not that it will increase only 5% a year.

Interesting enough, the exact same figures are stated for the 2001 G/K index. The 2000 G/K portfolio has a 55% chance, and the 1999 G/K portfolio has a 53% chance of doubling in 15 years. These results seem awfully similar, and awfully low, for 4 different tech portfolios, with 4 different histories.

Do these figures seem strange to anyone else?

- Fred
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