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Strategies & Market Trends : The Amateur Traders Corner

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To: Paul Kern who wrote (5726)1/28/2001 10:29:11 PM
From: Tom Hua  Read Replies (1) of 19633
 
the FOMC has never authorized back to back 50 basis point cuts.

Paul, there's a first to everything. A great majority (95%) of economists surveyed predict a 50 bp cut, and they were always right in the past. Greenspan's statement of zero growth is as clear as one can get from him to justify a 50 bp.

The Dec employment report comes on Friday, NAPM on Thursday, both after the Fed decision on Wednesday.

Don't count on 25, ain't gonna happen. Still, I'm betting on a moderate sell-off after the 50 bp cut.

Few more earnings plays this week. At this time I see 4 potential short candidates tomorrow. Doing some final review in the morning.

Regards,

Tom
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