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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 671.910.0%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: Psycho-Social who wrote (67865)1/29/2001 1:32:32 AM
From: lurqer  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
Thanks for the elaboration.

Immigration Adjusted Birth Rates on p35

Suspect that is the same as the chart on page 29 of my 1999 hardback edition.

You can't set your watch by it, but it's a decent barometer of the long-term trend.

That's consistent with my view of the relevance of demographic data - good for the "big picture", but don't try to day trade with it. <gg>

Going forward

Roughly consistent with with Dent although your 2006 prediction is quite interesting.

birth data on the post-Civil War to 1908 period.

Wish I could help, but I can't. I do suggest you also consider immigration data for immigration was massive in part of that period.

Thanks again.

lurqer
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