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Strategies & Market Trends : ScottOnStocks.com-2001
COOL 0.103+10.6%Sep 5 5:00 PM EST

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To: Smiling Bob who started this subject1/29/2001 9:32:29 AM
From: Smiling Bob  Read Replies (1) of 231
 
More bad news that typifies what is the tip of the iceberg
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Monday January 29, 8:35 am Eastern Time
AT&T's Profits Fall 51 Percent
By Jessica Hall

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Telephone and cable television giant AT&T Corp. (NYSE:T - news) on Monday posted a 51 percent drop in fourth-quarter profits due to intense competition and falling prices in the long-distance telephone market, and said it expects consumer revenues to continue to shrink.

Separately, Rick Roscitt, head of AT&T's Business Services unit, said he will become chairman and chief executive of equipment maker ADC Telecommunications Inc. (NasdaqNM:ADCT - news) Roscitt's departure marks the latest high-level executive to leave the company in the past three years.

AT&T, which plans to break into four separately traded companies, said fourth-quarter profits, excluding one-time items, fell to $978 million, or 26 cents a share, from $1.7 billion, or 53 cents a share, a year ago. On a per-share basis, the fall was 51 percent. On the basis of millions of dollars, the drop was 42 percent.

The results matched Wall Street's reduced expectations, according to research firm First Call/Thomson Financial. AT&T slashed its growth outlook several times last year, citing weakness in the long-distance telephone market.

Including one-time items, AT&T posted a net loss of $1.7 billion, or 45 cents a share, in the quarter, compared with a profit of $1.15 billion, or 36 cents a share, a year ago.

Fourth-quarter revenue increased 3 percent to $16.9 billion. Operating expenses jumped 52 percent to $21.2 billion.

In pre-market trading, shares of AT&T fell to $23, down from Friday's closing price of $23.3125, traders said.

Shares of New York-based AT&T have fallen 53 percent over the past year, underperforming the Standard & Poor's 500 Index by 49 percent. AT&T last month cut its dividend for the first time in the company's more than 100-year history, slashing the payout by 83 percent.

Excluding the planned exchange offer for its wireless unit, AT&T said it expects first-quarter earnings, excluding other income, to be in the range of 4 cents to 7 cents a share. AT&T said it was not able to accurately estimate full-year revenue, earnings, and cash-flow for the company as a whole due to the pending restructuring.

``We were expecting a bad quarter and a bad year in 2001 and it's going to be worse than we expected,'' said Anna-Maria Kovacs, a Boston analyst with the Janney Montgomery Scott brokerage.

Kovacs, who has a ``sell'' rating on AT&T, said AT&T's reduced forecast for 2001 EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) for business services and crumbling revenues from consumer long-distance were key reasons for her outlook.

Under AT&T's restructuring plan, which was announced in October, the company will split its major units -- consumer, business, broadband, and wireless -- into separately traded companies.

The move dismantles nearly three years of bold acquisitions and reverses the company's strategy to become an ``all distance'' communications company that sold packages of local, long-distance, wireless telephone and Internet access services.

LONG-DISTANCE BUSINESS SHRINKS; DATA AND WIRELESS GROW

In the fourth-quarter, AT&T's core consumer revenues fell 14.7 percent to $4.3 billion. For 2001, the consumer unit's pro forma revenues should fall by mid- to high-teen rates due to continued customer migration to lower priced calling plans and prepaid card products, competition from more Baby Bells entering the long distance market, and a switch by customers to wireless telephones.

AT&T's fourth-quarter business revenues increased 0.7 percent to $7.1 billion. The business services unit should post a ''slight revenue decline'' in the first quarter, and flat revenues for the full year 2001, the company said. It cited continued long-distance pricing pressure, volume erosion due to technology substitution, and changes in its product mix.

Its wireless unit's fourth-quarter revenues increased 39.1 percent to $3.0 billion as it added 865,000 new subscribers. It had 15.2 million subscribers at the end of 2000, an increase of 58.5 percent compared with a year-ago.

The wireless unit expects service revenues to grow at the high-end of the 30 -- 35 percent range for the full year 2001. Growth in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), excluding other income, is expected to be in the mid-60 percent range.

Wireless subscribers additions will grow by mid- to high- 20-percent rates in the first quarter. Full-year wireless subscriber growth is expected to be around 20 percent.

The broadband unit, which includes AT&T's recently acquired cable television businesses, saw a 11.8 percent increase in fourth-quarter revenues.

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