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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 671.91

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Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: Doug who wrote (67890)	1/29/2001 4:19:38 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (2) of 99985

Margins are always a problem in the High Tech area every time a new gizmo is introduced the margins on the old one shrink. The problem is that the FED keep interest rates to high for to long oil prices only started to move down in November February and Bush talked the economy down. Many consumer already quite streched went into buying strike and exports did not made up for it due to high oil prices and strong dollar. Hopefully Bush will keep his mouth shut or at least will come out with some bright idea like alocating 50% of budget surplus to automaticly buy US treasuries (kind of an auto pilot program) AG should lower interest rates to their natural level of GDP growth + Inflation which will be around 3% to 3.5% today and should had been 7.5% to 8% last January. IMHO FED funds should be adjusted monthly and not onvce in a blue moon. If the FED was following this formula we would not had the bubble and the debacle afterwards. Haim

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