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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: Dealer who started this subject	1/31/2001 11:16:20 PM
From: lindelgs	Read Replies (2) of 65232

Evening all...take a minute to check out this website- gwforecast.gwu.edu FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE CONTACT: Richard Sheehe January 1, 2000 202-994-3087 GW RESEARCHER OFFERS MILLENIUM FORECAST OF FUTURE BREAKTHROUGHS Top-Ten Lists are Highlights from Online Think-Tank on Emerging Technologies WASHINGTON-- A researcher of emerging technologies in The George Washington University's School of Business and Public Management has released a pair of lists predicting the top ten technological breakthroughs for both the coming decade and the coming century. Professor William E. Halal based his predictions on ten years of research in forecasting emerging technologies. Every two years, Halal and his associates have pooled the knowledge of the world’s best experts in all scientific fields to estimate when roughly 100 technologies will enter the economic mainstream, the confidence in this forecast, and the market potential. This endeavor has recently moved online. The two lists below represent highlights from the GW Forecast (gwforecast.gwu.edu ), an online think tank hosted by GW and administered by Professor Halal. Breakthrough Date Confidence Level Top Ten Breakthroughs for the Next Decade Portable information devices accessing all media are common 2003 +/- 2 years Fuel-cell cars enter the market 2005 +/- 3 years Precision farming is common 2005 +/- 3 years Mass customization of cheap, high quality goods is common 2007 +/- 3 years "Teleliving" --interactive wall monitors are used for work, shopping, etc 2008 +/- 3 years "Virtual" electronic assistants help people conduct their work 2008 +/- 3 years Genetically modified foods gain wide acceptance 2008 +/- 5 years Computerized health care is available 2009 +/- 4 years Alternate energy sources are widely used 2009 +/- 4 years Smart mobile robots used in homes and factories 2010 +/- 5 years Top Ten Breakthroughs for the Next Century "Maglev" trains connect major cities 2012 +/- 5 years Children can be genetically designed 2012 +/- 5 years Optical computers are developed 2015 +/- 5 years Automated, intelligent highways are developed 2015 +/- 5 years A base on the Moon is established 2015 +/- 5 years Cloned/artificial organs can replace most body parts 2020 +/- 10 years Humans land on Mars 2022 +/- 5 years Genetic therapy can cure most illnesses 2025 +/- 5 years Average human life span reaches 100 years 2030 +/- 3 years Humans travel to a nearby star system 2050 +/- 10 years Professor Halal is available for interviews throughout the New Year's weekend. Although the University is closed until January 3, he can be reached directly by calling 202-363-0222 or via email at halal@gwu.edu. I haven't had a chance to check this site out fully yet...will be interested in anyone's thoughts. I heard about this on the radio this evening. BTW, current interest rates (today) in Houston - home lending running right at 6.875% (with 1 point) fwiw. Expecting them to come down some more. Should set off a refinance flurry. Night all... Legs

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