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Strategies & Market Trends : 123 Trends and Reversals
QQQ 629.07+0.5%Oct 31 5:00 PM EST

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To: Ally who started this subject2/1/2001 8:43:29 AM
From: Ally   of 147
 
Re: Agrium (AGU)

On a primary uptrend, and may have just completed a retracement. I'm not expecting this stock to make any kind of parabolic move up, unless traders decide to play it. More likely, it'll be a slow grinding up stock. More ideal as an RRSP stock. It also wouldn't be a stock to own permanently... just to rent. The fundamentals forward look good. It may report slower earnings for the current quarter, but analysts expect earnings to power up for next couple of years. Why? (1) The nitrogen fertilizer pricing environment is improving after 3 years of decline (2) Agrium has a competitive advantage over other producers because it has hedged natural gas (main cost component for producing nitrogen fertilizer) (3) world production is down due to high cost of gas. In the fertilizer world, price is driven by supply rather than demand. Small producers shut down when gas costs are high. (4) Agrium has respectable management.

What we have here is a stock that has good chart technicals, and good look ahead fundamentals.

Disclosure: I recently bought AGU in my RRSP

Caveat: Any stock may look good today, and isn't tomorrow. So don't be complacent and keep stops handy!

207.61.23.99
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