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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 665.67-0.9%Nov 17 4:00 PM EST

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To: Chuck Williams who wrote (68294)2/2/2001 1:18:11 AM
From: iod_sherwood  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
We've just finished this part....

Primary Bear Market - Stage 2 - Big Move
As with the primary bull market, stage two of a primary bear market provides the largest move. This is when the trend has been identified as down and business conditions begin to deteriorate. Earnings estimates are reduced, shortfalls occur, profit margins shrink and revenues fall. As business conditions worsen, the sell-off continues.

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And we did the relief rally...
make that we just did the relief rally... off the "big move"

so stage three will last a while yet.. despair...

slow tick down... and the challenge will be if the rate cuts will truly re-spike growth, or if that asset bubble is hurting so bad that we'll be stifled for qtr's and qtr's to come....
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