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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets!
LRCX 142.62+2.2%Nov 21 9:30 AM EST

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To: Alastair McIntosh who wrote (9436)2/5/2001 10:09:50 AM
From: scott_jiminez  Read Replies (2) of 10921
 
We believe that valuations continue to be too high in light of fundamentals and that there is downside risk that another full wave of downward revisions in number will probably occur in the next two months.

Completely consistent with what we would expect from analysts at this period in the cycle. In other words, 'This time is different, the downturn is WORSE THAN USUAL, don't buy in for another six months'.

It's precisely because just about everyone buys into this logic that the credo of this thread can never work.

Just like I've been saying for 8 weeks, NOW is the time to buy these stocks, while everyone continues to hate them, rather than when the preverbal tunnel/light shines so clearly. My prediction would be that the group will be up another ~50% in the next 4-6 weeks and that the group as a whole will have an extremely good year. We're off to a very good start - the equipment stocks are one of the leading sectors thus far this year.

To repeat, NOW is the time to buy....when BLOOD is running in the streets!
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