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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 101.44+3.5%Nov 12 4:00 PM EST

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To: lorne who wrote (63414)2/6/2001 7:00:39 PM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (2) of 116756
 
This is an example of the typically bearish spin commentators put on something that has already happened. A glance at AU's year end hedge position reveals that they are already hedged in those years with 16,719,000 oz. in forward contracts and another 3,054,000 oz. in call writes. As 2001 production is estimated to be 7.1 million, (incidentially that's down from 2000's 7.24 million) they will have to increase output to 8.0 million a year, just to keep up with their present delivery requirements, if they wish to hit their stated 50% guidelines. IMO it is more likely that AU will not hedge another ounce for at least a year. In fact I'm skeptical that they can maintain even current output levels without a major merger or purchase.
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