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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: Second_Titan who wrote (86507)2/6/2001 11:07:54 PM
From: excardog  Read Replies (1) of 95453
 
007

Not sure where I fit in on your bull/bear gas price senario here on the thread but I would like to clarify my position in that short term I'm leaning bearish on pricing longer term bullish. Even $4 natural gas is a lovely thing for producers but the price drop will affect stock prices in the short term.

If you are a long term holder things should work out nicely provided you own the right stocks. If you own a company that shoots a few blanks with the drill bit your going to take a hit.

I listened to Lee Raymond (EXXON for those that don't know) talk around earnings time and he was asked what he thought oil prices were going to do. His response " they will go up and down" he also said a month was along time in the oil business. So if a month is a long time it remains difficult to be a holder long term.

Conclusion for me is I trade. Not daily but more weekly to monthly. Why ride a 20% drop in portfolio value when stock commission rates are as low as they are today. I trade at Schwab which has one of the higher rates and can still move 5000 shares for $50.

An example of my bearishness is EOG nice earnings tonight but somebody just went from strong buy to hold:
biz.yahoo.com

So I remain a long term bull but shorter term mild bear. By month end or sooner may be 60 to 75% cash in my trading account.

Different strokes for different folks.

Best
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