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Strategies & Market Trends : Steve's Channelling Thread

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To: Sam who wrote (10877)2/7/2001 7:41:17 AM
From: Logain Ablar  Read Replies (1) of 30051
 
Sam:

SSTI guidance was for 48 cents not 47. They didn't prewarn.
Yes without the return they would have made the # but then look @ the DSO's (high even with this 15M reduction) and inventory (also high). Still a deteriorating picture and I didn't buy the comment on building inventory. In the 3rd quarter they let us know the were booked into the 2nd qtr of this year now they won't give booking data (so I assume they are no longer booked strong into next quarter).

AMD, INTC, ATML flash met forecast and is still growing this year. Its not only the new FABs coming on line but the independents converting to flash.

The slow down is real. The question is whether its an inventory correction or a recession. Zeev is right it depends on consumer confidence but with energy price increases, the job layoff announcments and some of our politicians wanting to keep our tax burden @ the highest level post wwII I'd say the odds favor a recession.

But who really knows @ this point
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