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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 672.07-1.7%4:00 PM EST

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To: Les H who wrote (68476)2/10/2001 3:58:58 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
Market/Sector Breadth Journal: February 9, 2001 (3773 stocks)

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Feb 9 38 48 63 48 564 - 1315 403 - 1000 324 - 520 99 - 64
Feb 8 44 54 66 49 666 - 1073 487 - 759 373 - 343 109 - 43
Feb 7 48 58 68 50 839 - 990 613 - 704 468 - 247 156 - 42
Feb 6 49 62 69 50 729 - 778 552 - 516 418 - 157 139 - 29
Feb 5 47 62 69 50 661 - 1118 525 - 692 373 - 166 108 - 33
Feb 2 49 65 69 49 540 - 1114 434 - 644 325 - 182 101 - 23
Feb 1 61 71 73 51 921 - 638 694 - 326 513 - 104 146 - 12
Jan 31 61 71 72 50 986 - 720 751 - 335 549 - 124 123 - 17
Jan 30 67 74 73 50 1144 - 486 863 - 230 614 - 81 118 - 10
Jan 29 64 71 71 50 1191 - 475 898 - 245 623 - 99 128 - 10
Jan 26 58 67 68 48 747 - 695 526 - 324 355 - 113 88 - 10
Jan 25 62 70 69 48 885 - 691 647 - 261 399 - 90 64 - 12
Jan 24 68 71 69 48 1089 - 502 866 - 208 593 - 109 76 - 10
Jan 23 72 72 69 48 1221 - 330 992 - 138 730 - 70 90 - 14

Market Index Breadth

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
S&P 500 1314 47 56 65 69 108 - 164 95 - 114 89 - 58 17 - 5
S&P 100 682 42 50 58 64 13 - 35 12 - 25 12 - 12 1 - 1
NDX 100 2261 13 20 37 29 8 - 61 4 - 57 3 - 42 0 - 9

S & P 500

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Feb 9 1314 47 56 65 69 108 - 164 95 - 114 89 - 58 17 - 5
Feb 8 1332 54 61 66 69 127 - 135 106 - 87 90 - 45 17 - 5
Feb 7 1340 57 66 67 70 142 - 121 112 - 80 93 - 36 23 - 5
Feb 6 1352 59 66 67 70 115 - 118 93 - 66 73 - 21 19 - 0
Feb 5 1354 62 69 67 70 126 - 103 111 - 60 77 - 22 19 - 2
Feb 2 1349 59 68 66 69 74 - 108 62 - 70 46 - 22 19 - 2
Feb 1 1373 68 71 68 71 163 - 85 132 - 35 82 - 16 26 - 1
Jan 31 1366 68 69 67 71 170 - 91 132 - 31 77 - 15 19 - 1
Jan 30 1373 75 71 68 70 197 - 56 146 - 20 76 - 10 19 - 0
Jan 29 1364 67 62 64 69 178 - 45 134 - 27 75 - 18 18 - 0
Jan 26 1354 61 56 61 67 105 - 81 78 - 48 37 - 26 11 - 0
Jan 25 1357 66 59 65 69 188 - 73 122 - 33 37 - 13 9 - 0
Jan 24 1364 62 54 61 67 159 - 79 110 - 46 45 - 27 10 - 0
Jan 23 1360 65 54 62 67 158 - 44 107 - 25 60 - 16 7 - 2

Nasdaq 100

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Feb 9 2261 13 20 37 29 8 - 61 4 - 57 3 - 42 0 - 9
Feb 8 2355 15 27 41 28 9 - 45 3 - 39 1 - 29 0 - 7
Feb 7 2409 21 31 45 29 12 - 48 6 - 45 4 - 22 0 - 5
Feb 6 2473 20 36 50 31 8 - 28 6 - 25 5 - 9 1 - 2
Feb 5 2467 15 34 48 31 6 - 46 5 - 34 4 - 9 0 - 3
Feb 2 2472 13 37 50 31 2 - 70 1 - 55 1 - 16 0 - 2
Feb 1 2607 39 59 65 36 10 - 30 6 - 15 5 - 3 0 - 1
Jan 31 2593 36 64 62 39 11 - 35 8 - 15 7 - 4 2 - 1
Jan 30 2686 61 74 70 39 14 - 11 10 - 5 8 - 1 0 - 0
Jan 29 2694 60 79 71 39 35 - 7 32 - 4 21 - 0 0 - 0
Jan 26 2631 53 74 62 37 13 - 20 9 - 12 5 - 2 0 - 0
Jan 25 2595 53 72 59 34 8 - 40 5 - 13 4 - 1 0 - 0
Jan 24 2726 72 82 70 37 31 - 13 30 - 3 19 - 1 1 - 0
Jan 23 2730 86 86 71 40 47 - 5 37 - 0 28 - 0 0 - 0

S & P 100

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Feb 9 682 42 50 58 64 13 - 35 12 - 25 12 - 12 1 - 1
Feb 8 694 49 60 60 63 22 - 32 19 - 22 16 - 9 2 - 1
Feb 7 700 54 64 62 66 27 - 29 22 - 16 20 - 6 4 - 1
Feb 6 708 60 69 64 63 21 - 21 19 - 10 11 - 0 3 - 0
Feb 5 709 66 72 65 66 27 - 22 23 - 9 13 - 4 0 - 0
Feb 2 705 60 73 61 62 13 - 19 8 - 11 3 - 3 1 - 0
Feb 1 719 69 70 67 63 36 - 13 27 - 3 18 - 1 3 - 0
Jan 31 715 73 68 65 65 33 - 11 23 - 3 12 - 1 3 - 0
Jan 30 718 73 67 65 61 39 - 9 27 - 3 18 - 1 2 - 0
Jan 29 711 55 56 58 60 29 - 16 23 - 8 17 - 3 1 - 0
Jan 26 709 60 49 56 61 16 - 17 11 - 10 5 - 5 0 - 0
Jan 25 710 64 55 59 59 40 - 16 24 - 8 10 - 3 2 - 0
Jan 24 714 62 51 55 61 31 - 16 21 - 9 10 - 6 1 - 0
Jan 23 712 63 51 56 61 30 - 12 19 - 5 12 - 3 3 - 0

AIQ market log (buy - sell ratios of signals for stocks >= 7 and ADV >= 75,000)

Unconfirmed Signals (US)
market DJIA SPX OTC Universe SPX OEX NDX
----------------- ------ ----- ----- -------- -------- -------- --------
Feb 9 10,781 1314 2470 70 - 30 56 - 44 55 - 45 100 - 0
Feb 8 10,880 1332 2562 60 - 40 51 - 49 36 - 64 95 - 5
Feb 7 10,946 1340 2607 54 - 46 48 - 52 30 - 70 100 - 0
Feb 6 10,957 1352 2664 52 - 48 39 - 61 25 - 75 75 - 25
Feb 5 10,965 1354 2643 51 - 49 40 - 60 25 - 75 67 - 33
Feb 2 10,864 1349 2660 48 - 52 47 - 53 25 - 75 83 - 17
Feb 1 10,983 1373 2782 29 - 71 41 - 59 25 - 75 33 - 67
Jan 31 10,887 1366 2772 25 - 75 37 - 63 22 - 78 25 - 75
Jan 30 10,881 1373 2838 24 - 76 39 - 61 20 - 80 25 - 75
Jan 29 10,702 1364 2838 26 - 74 49 - 51 36 - 64 0 -100
Jan 26 10,660 1354 2781 30 - 70 57 - 43 54 - 46 0 -100
Jan 25 10,729 1357 2754 27 - 73 56 - 44 57 - 43 0 -100
Jan 24 10,647 1364 2859 26 - 74 52 - 48 53 - 47 0 -100
Jan 23 10,649 1360 2840 24 - 76 54 - 46 52 - 48 0 -100

February 9

Weighted Action List (WAL) Unconfirmed Signals (US)

Universe 24 - 76 70 - 30
S&P 500 (SPX) 22 - 78 56 - 44
S&P 100 (OEX) 19 - 81 55 - 45
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) 24 - 76 100 - 0

Nine Month Cycle

cycle tendencies
10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low
May 24 start start start 1361 none
Jun 16 green green green 1464 +103 1483 +122 N.A.
Jul 10 yellow green green 1475 + 11 1488 + 24 1436 - 28
Aug 2 red yellow green 1438 - 37 1517 + 42 1414 - 61
Aug 25 green yellow green 1506 + 68 1513 + 75 1426 - 12
Sep 15 yellow red yellow 1465 - 38 1530 + 24 1460 - 46
Oct 11 red red yellow 1364 - 99 1467 + 2 1349 -115
Nov 3 green green yellow 1426 + 62 1433 + 67 1305 - 59
Nov 27 yellow green yellow 1348 - 78 1438 + 12 1321 -105
Dec 20 red yellow red 1264 - 84 1389 + 41 1261 - 87
Jan 12 green yellow red 1318 + 54 1350 + 86 1254 - 10
Feb 03 yellow red red 1349 + 31 1385 + 67 1313 - 5
Feb 28 red red red 1314 - 35 1354 + 5 1309 - 40
Mar 23 green green green ???? ????
Apr 17 yellow green green ???? ????
May 9 red yellow green ???? ????
Jun 1 green yellow green ???? ????
Jun 24 yellow red yellow ???? ????
Jul 18 red red yellow ???? ????

Sector Breadth

percent stocks over MA *********** 20-day highs/lows ************
sector (num) 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 2/09 2/08 2/07 2/06
---------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Aerospace/Defense (46) 50 63 80 67 6 - 1 11 - 1 5 - 1 5 - 1
Apparel (84) 42 57 82 67 11 - 7 12 - 4 24 - 2 14 - 2
Automotive (36) 47 69 83 44 2 - 2 7 - 0 10 - 1 14 - 1
Banks (114) 58 68 78 89 14 - 2 12 - 3 16 - 2 11 - 4
Biotechnology (158) 14 25 40 20 2 - 25 3 - 17 2 - 6 6 - 5
Building/Constr (105) 47 58 76 71 9 - 9 10 - 5 19 - 4 29 - 4
Chemical (60) 50 58 70 67 6 - 3 5 - 3 7 - 4 11 - 3
Commercial Svcs (177) 41 51 62 51 15 - 14 24 - 15 27 - 16 17 - 9
Computer Svcs (48) 42 52 73 40 3 - 1 4 - 2 5 - 2 5 - 1
Consumer Nondur (38) 63 66 76 53 5 - 0 8 - 0 10 - 0 5 - 1
Computer Equip (138) 15 22 48 19 3 - 38 6 - 19 6 - 16 9 - 4
Drug (ex-Biotech) (94) 44 52 52 45 7 - 8 8 - 7 13 - 4 11 - 4
Electronics (322) 14 21 49 19 3 - 96 9 - 50 15 - 37 16 - 13
Financial (105) 48 60 80 83 10 - 6 16 - 7 14 - 7 14 - 6
Foods (64) 75 77 77 91 11 - 1 18 - 1 22 - 1 19 - 0
Healthcare (96) 50 71 70 73 12 - 4 12 - 0 23 - 1 15 - 1
Household Prods (38) 39 53 74 61 5 - 6 1 - 3 4 - 2 4 - 1
Insurance (91) 63 70 51 78 11 - 16 15 - 6 15 - 2 3 - 3
Internet (248) 16 25 44 8 4 - 56 5 - 32 5 - 32 6 - 17
Leisure (108) 41 56 75 60 7 - 10 13 - 7 18 - 6 20 - 4
Machinery (46) 46 57 76 67 3 - 1 8 - 3 14 - 1 6 - 0
Media (87) 39 39 75 40 0 - 8 4 - 9 4 - 4 5 - 3
Medical Tech (124) 35 42 55 35 6 - 7 11 - 15 5 - 8 8 - 8
Metals (ex-Gold) (69) 58 61 81 51 11 - 6 10 - 4 10 - 3 12 - 2
Oil & Gas (178) 86 87 91 85 57 - 1 35 - 3 54 - 2 58 - 3
Paper Prods & Pkg (43) 49 44 56 51 4 - 2 4 - 3 4 - 2 1 - 1
Real Estate (121) 22 42 58 69 5 - 29 6 - 17 10 - 15 12 - 12
Retail (228) 48 64 80 64 20 - 14 34 - 8 69 - 3 32 - 3
Semiconductors (157) 11 17 47 11 1 - 58 3 - 33 4 - 25 5 - 6
Software (168) 25 39 59 37 2 - 35 7 - 22 9 - 10 12 - 7
Telecom (285) 13 21 50 10 3 - 98 6 - 52 5 - 34 9 - 21
Transportation (76) 42 58 78 67 8 - 9 6 - 8 8 - 5 9 - 3
Utilities (116) 63 67 52 69 42 - 9 29 - 10 16 - 10 11 - 5

percent stocks over MA *********** 10-day highs/lows ************
sector (num) 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 2/09 2/08 2/07 2/06
---------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Aerospace/Defense (46) 50 63 80 67 8 - 6 12 - 4 6 - 2 6 - 3
Apparel (84) 42 57 82 67 14 - 17 16 - 15 28 - 7 20 - 10
Automotive (36) 47 69 83 44 2 - 6 7 - 2 11 - 3 16 - 1
Banks (114) 58 68 78 89 16 - 7 14 - 15 22 - 10 13 - 11
Biotechnology (158) 14 25 40 20 2 - 57 3 - 38 2 - 29 7 - 18
Building/Constr (105) 47 58 76 71 14 - 17 14 - 12 27 - 9 42 - 9
Chemical (60) 50 58 70 67 8 - 6 9 - 6 15 - 7 15 - 4
Commercial Svcs (177) 41 51 62 51 21 - 36 33 - 33 35 - 31 23 - 21
Computer Svcs (48) 42 52 73 40 4 - 9 4 - 5 6 - 8 7 - 3
Consumer Nondur (38) 63 66 76 53 6 - 2 11 - 1 12 - 0 8 - 2
Computer Equip (138) 15 22 48 19 4 - 71 7 - 45 7 - 39 10 - 23
Drug (ex-Biotech) (94) 44 52 52 45 9 - 16 10 - 19 15 - 15 13 - 11
Electronics (322) 14 21 49 19 4 - 155 11 - 106 17 - 130 18 - 81
Financial (105) 48 60 80 83 12 - 13 17 - 16 17 - 20 15 - 14
Foods (64) 75 77 77 91 13 - 1 22 - 4 27 - 2 25 - 2
Healthcare (96) 50 71 70 73 13 - 10 17 - 3 34 - 5 23 - 4
Household Prods (38) 39 53 74 61 5 - 10 3 - 7 6 - 6 4 - 7
Insurance (91) 63 70 51 78 14 - 16 21 - 17 23 - 6 7 - 14
Internet (248) 16 25 44 8 5 - 117 8 - 80 5 - 98 9 - 57
Leisure (108) 41 56 75 60 8 - 23 17 - 14 22 - 12 23 - 11
Machinery (46) 46 57 76 67 4 - 7 12 - 6 15 - 4 7 - 1
Media (87) 39 39 75 40 1 - 15 9 - 12 10 - 12 10 - 11
Medical Tech (124) 35 42 55 35 8 - 28 12 - 25 8 - 16 9 - 22
Metals (ex-Gold) (69) 58 61 81 51 13 - 13 11 - 10 11 - 6 15 - 7
Oil & Gas (178) 86 87 91 85 75 - 7 50 - 7 72 - 6 78 - 6
Paper Prods & Pkg (43) 49 44 56 51 7 - 7 5 - 6 9 - 3 6 - 2
Real Estate (121) 22 42 58 69 6 - 44 6 - 28 11 - 22 15 - 18
Retail (228) 48 64 80 64 24 - 44 43 - 34 78 - 14 41 - 14
Semiconductors (157) 11 17 47 11 1 - 77 3 - 58 4 - 81 6 - 48
Software (168) 25 39 59 37 3 - 62 10 - 52 12 - 38 15 - 25
Telecom (285) 13 21 50 10 4 - 145 10 - 100 9 - 107 12 - 73
Transportation (76) 42 58 78 67 11 - 12 9 - 15 11 - 9 13 - 7
Utilities (116) 63 67 52 69 49 - 16 37 - 15 23 - 19 14 - 12
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