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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 670.97+0.1%Nov 7 4:00 PM EST

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To: HairBall who started this subject2/11/2001 12:16:38 PM
From: byhiselo  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
more work at a bottom needed:

based on weekly Directional movement:

stockcharts.com[l,a]waclyymy[pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9!Ll14]

stockcharts.com[l,a]waclyymy[pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9!Ll14]

look at the Jan/Feb 2000 period on the charts above,
notice the jig in the +DI after its fallen below ADX,
but the market continues to rise into March

now on the right side of charts, notice the reverse
in the -DI after its fallen below the ADX, almost
inverse of 3/00 action, implying more downside

a -DI reading above 40 maybe needed to reverse downtrend
but note that in the above charts +DX pierces 40 in Dec/99
but top is not in place until 3 months later, so we are in for an extended bottoming process lasting another 3-6 months
at least

signal for ltbh: ADX falls below both +/- to around 14
and +DI begins to rise, will take some time

cheers
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