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Gold/Mining/Energy : Nuvo Research Inc
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To: Cal Gary who wrote (6742)2/12/2001 9:44:01 AM
From: Montana Wildhack  Read Replies (3) of 14101
 
CalGary,

So Wolf, are you still sticking with 5% market share for Pennsaid with 1 full year of sales??

In the total absence of public sales projections by anyone,
I researched and posted possible outcomes based on market
sizes, stated 'royalty' percentages, estimated selling
prices, and estimated costs of production.

These projections were based around 5% as a means of
measuring how little it would take to make Dimethaid viable.

I need to be very clear that I have NEVER estimated
Dimethaid's market share which I consider a useless
exercise.

What I did was run scenarios based on the most accurate
information I could get as to what it would take to make
Dimethaid worth investing in.

Since those exercises showed me that around 7% of a growing
market in europe alone made investing worthwhile - I am
here in force.

If I had seen that 20% was required - I'm not sure I'd
be here at all. I certainly would have a lot less invested.

My work tells me we should be able to break the 5 and 7%
(and this I have posted) because this product's sales will
grow faster than the double digit market size growth.

In my opinion, Pennsaid will do better than that, but the
only reason I am here is because those low numbers can
deliver my investment goals.

I'm not coming on strong here. It's just that this is a
terribly important distinction.

Wolf
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