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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

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To: Kemo Sabe who wrote (69005)	2/12/2001 3:05:20 PM
From: Doug	Read Replies (1) of 99985

Kemo: You have a point. However, a chart is only as good as its assumptions. That chart from which this discussion emanated did not extend reasonably far enough to capture a recession , a bear market, or a soft landing.. It basically reflected a stock market in a boom mode It did have 2 sharp spikes and they were spikes in the truest sense with sharp reversals. Some time ago , some one posted historical trends similar but extending way back capturing many Bear markets. based on that , it presented another picture. Establishing bounded trendlines is great when they encapsulate similar conditions. If they dont, they do not prove much.

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