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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA

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To: J.T. who wrote (6541)2/13/2001 2:37:45 PM
From: J.T.  Read Replies (4) of 19219
 
Rydex Total Assets Update for Monday, February 12th 2001(revised):

Regular Series:

SPX Long - NOVA 490.1 Million
SPX Short- URSA 215.4 Million

NDX Long - OTC 1,795 BILLION
NDX Short- Arktos 70.8 Million

XAU Precious Metals 29.5 Million
Banking 88.3 Million
Biotechnology 463 Million
Money Market 792 Million**new 52 week low

*******************************************
Dynamic Series (200% correlation)

SPX Long - TITAN 108.3 Million
SPX Short- TEMPEST 27.9 Million

NDX Long - VELOCITY 159.9 Million
NDX Short- VENTURE 41.6 Million

*********************************************

Disregard MITA post 6,551- Bad Data.

Bad rydex data is like bad or delayed quotes: It ain't worth squat if it ain't right. These updated numbers have much more BEARISH implications over the nearterm than last nights report. And in light of the fact we are in option expiration week, games are gona get played and da big boys are going to defend against out of the money strike prices into Friday. That means we could be up one day and down the next until we get "clean" into next week.

This means stocks like QCOM which had great news today might not run hard north of 90 until next week as OTM option plays are left for dead worthless....

Now I am going to switch from Rydex to the DOW/BKX market. I state unequivocably that the DOW is going to set a new high at DOW 11,900+ before people know what has happened. I have also stated BKX strength is going to lead and move in tandem with the DOW. I thought we would get one more move back to this BKX 898-902 level intraday test one last time before take-off. While this is still a possibility, it is becoming a more remote chance by the day. BKX 1,000+ is only a stones throw away. I see BKX 1,200 as not out of the realm of possiblity intraday high test sometime in late March. The BKX read has always been the MITA specialty and nobody has called it better going back to BKX 780 ad nauseum:

siliconinvestor.com.

Today we closed at BKX 944.68 up 14 points.

The monthly charts scream break-out:
stockcharts.com[l,a]mahl...

Here is a plain vanilla monthly roundabout courtesy of wolanchuk.com
village2000.com

This weekly chart shows we have been in this defined trading range for more than 3 years:
charts-d.quote.com:443/982093330230?User=demo&Pswd=demo&DataType=GIF&Symbol=INDEX:BKX.X&Interval=30&Ht=400&Wd=600&Display=0&Study=&Param1=&Param2=&Param3=&FontSize=10&BgColor=0.255.0&TBgColor=0.255.0

The daily chart show the 5 day rsi at a paltry 56.92 and we are less than 24 points from an all time high BKX 968.16 set on January 30th.

charts-d.quote.com:443/982044356130?User=demo&Pswd=de...

The 60 minute chart with OBV:
charts-d.quote.com:443/982045023640?User=demo&Pswd=de...

First target BKX 1,020 next week.

Best Regards, J.T.
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