BUY RECOMMENDATION: HEALTH MANAGEMENT SSYSTEMS, INC.
(HMSY, @US$5.625, listed on NASDAQ)
52 wk high-low: $37 - $4.75
Mkt. Capitalization: 114 million
We recommend the purchase of HMSY for investors who are willing to overlook the current trough in earnings performance to longer-term capital growth potential for the following reasons:
1. Clean balance sheet with no long term debt and over US$2 cash per share.
2. HMSY just reported on May 28th its operating results for the second fiscal quarter ended April 30th. HEALTH MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS, INC. Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited, In Thousands of $, Except Per Share Amounts)
Three Months Ended Six Months Ended April 30, April 30, 1997 1996 1997 1996 Revenue $ 20,108 25,707 42,380 51,326 Cost of services Compensation 13,505 11,892 25,164 23,647 Data processing 1,795 2,112 3,588 4,277 Occupancy 2,416 1,775 4,559 3,483 Other 4,603 4,459 7,953 8,751 22,319 20,238 41,264 40,158 Operating (loss) margin (2,211) 5,469 1,116 11,168
Amortization of intangibles 239 55 285 110 Operating (loss) income (2,450) 5,414 831 11,058
Other income/expense Interest income, net 1,331 228 1,772 479 Merger related costs (37) (489) (537) (489) Equity in (loss) earnings of affiliate (294) 174 (310) 297 (Loss) income before income tax expense (1,450) 5,327 1,756 11,345
Income tax benefit (expense) 1,731 (2,225) 328 (4,633) Net income $ 281 3,102 2,084 6,712 Net income per common share $ 0.02 0.17 0.12 0.37 Weighted average shares outstanding 17,832 18,477 18,034 18,329
3. Despite the poor performance for the current quarter, we expect the company to earn US$.50 per share for the fiscal year ending Jan. 31, 1998, and US$.60 the following year as the newly hired executive, Mr. Michael T. Mcquire,*(hired in mid April) puts into effect a new sales management team.
4. The stock is priced at the relatively low ends of the five-year range for several of the following ratios.
5 year range Current
P/E 6 - 52 11
P/book value 1 - 8.4 1.2
P/cash flow 5.2 - 39 6.3
P/sales .8 - 6.6 1.0
*As reported by the PR Newswire, Mr. McGuire, 48, has over 15 years of experience in the sale and development of health care information systems and services. Mr. McGuire acquired his sales management expertise while at Xerox Corporation, then went on to hold several executive positions at HBO & Company, where he was responsible for developing and implementing their outsourcing business line. Most recently, Mr. McGuire held the position of President and Chief Executive Officer of National Healthtech Corporation, where he was directly responsible for developing the company's sales infrastructure as well as a healthcare outsourcing unit. 5. Moreover,on May 28, 1997, Health Management Systems Inc. said its board authorized the repurchase of up to $10,000,000 worth of its common from time to time in open market or private transactions. The company said it currently has about 17,700,000 common shares outstanding.
HMSY provides proprietary information management and data processing services and software to hospitals and health care providers, government health services agencies, and companies that serve the health care industry. The company, which has more than 450 clients in 42 states, develops systems for retroactive claims reprocessing, 3rd-party liability recovery, comprehensive accounts management, electronic data interchange (EDI) services including electronic billing and follow-up services, and managed care decision support systems that analyze financial, clinical, and operational information.
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