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To: skinowski who started this subject	2/19/2001 5:14:47 PM
From: skinowski	Read Replies (1) of 17306

D.Hays quoting R.Russel quoting Bob Powers Feb 12, 2001 “Since 1802 the real (inflation adjusted) total return in the US stock market has averaged 7.08% a year. If one looks at annual data, there have been seven ‘strong cycles’ since 1802, where the median annual total return has been 14.02%, and seven ‘weak cycles’ where the median annual total return has been 0.0%. The strong cycles have lasted 17 years on the average, while the weak cycles have averaged 16 years. From 1982 to 1999, we have experienced a ‘strong cycle’, with the average annual total return for this time period being 14.9%.”

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