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Strategies & Market Trends : ahhaha's ahs

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To: Ahda who wrote (1113)2/21/2001 1:09:40 PM
From: ahhahaRead Replies (3) of 24758
 
Do you call this stagflation?

Yes.

What is most difficult about this whole situation is the much of the world is reliant upon the appetite of the US
What is most sad is surplus dollars created much nonsense that causes growth to evaporate quickly.


Correct.

Is this a cycle or is this a symptom of a mature economy ?

It is both in that the secular cycle lasting around 30 years is peaking. The business cycle which peaked in '98 is nearing a trough. Our economy is nowhere near mature.

I then think of the finance industry dollars delivered elsewhere to create profits and when elsewhere is relying on here it gets very questionable.

Never a problem because there is no one world. The existence of separate nation states with their differences guarantees there's a default free market that transcends the stupidity of what CBs and the United Nations would do. It is our only defense against the need to do good to the entire world.

Then is there another period in history that this could be compared to?

Late '60s.

I sometimes think that California birthed both the gold rush and the tech rush.

An original thought.

Now she is birthing a utility crush too. This will create limit on Calif. The taxes I fear will increase and so will shipping costs to the rest of the USA.

No doubt about it. Davis is doing everything he can to avoid the negative political feedback this will bring him. To the extent he is successful, to that extent you will have to pay. Davis will be cheered for this accomplishment.

Now I wonder is it too simple to classify any healthy economic structure as that which has room for growth due to conducive pricing.?

Quite correct. Conducive pricing is an original economic concept. I like it. I will have to put together the mathematical explication of it.

My gardeners uncle who is in the same business taught him the basics of the prosperity and paucity

Economics is built on the will to achieve prosperity by striving to overcome paucity even though the result is dismal. This is why economics is called the "dismal science".

It is the trees, man, when everybody trims trees it is paper time out there. Grab it while you can. When the trees grow there ain’t no paper power anymore.

This is an extremely difficult figure. I'll have to get me friend, Bilow, to resolve it.

I rather think AG has got himself into a precarious position

You're one of the few who sees this. You and John Chambers, but Chambers couldn't see it when he needed to see it. He had too many experts who don't have a clue about these things telling him that there were no problems. Chambers pays them millions to fail. This is why wealth sews the seeds of its own destruction.
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