carranza2,
<< Smart CDMA operators, primarily those located outside Europe, will evolve into CDMA2000 because of the relatively inexpensive transition costs. >>
The "stupid" ones will choose W-CDMA for IMT-2000 spectrum, like the Korean carriers did.
The other "stupid" ones that currently use GSM (and probably several that currently use IS-136 TDMA), will choose W-CDMA. These "stupid" ones spent time over the years to focus on network to network interoperability, data services, and roaming evolved a very robust end to end standard and platform as a result.
<< If CDMAOne would have gained a foothold in Europe, you would have seen reasonable spectrum auctions and lots of CDMA2000 contracts >>
Could you explain why the auctions of 2GHz IMT-2000 spectrum in Europe would have been "reasonable" if cdmaOne had gained a foothold in Europe?
Let us suppose we had cdmaOne and GSM deployed in Europe today. We probably would be seing much escalated prices in the auctions, IMO.
<< The Euros may, if they have a lucid interval, go to CDMA2000/GSM overlay which should be available before WCDMA is in full rollout.>>
They may if a cdma2000/GSM overlay is ever standardized so as to be completely interoperable (not just harmonized) with GSM, GPRS, and W-CDMA, and somebody commercializes the technology. That is not going to happen overnight, and there is no indication at the present that anyone is considering doing this. As a QUALCOMM investor I put that in the VERY wishful thinking category.
<< I won't even mention the GPRS sauna rocks and the unavailability of handsets for the first stage of the WCDMA evolution. >>
Sort of like the unavailability of handsets for 1xRTT is it not?
- Eric - |